How To Discriminate And Speculation Hot Spots Everywhere
One, commonly used to hype theme.
1: improvement or improvement in business performance 。
Fundamentally speaking, performance is the root of the stock market and performance is the absolute principle. The so-called good expectations will eventually be reflected in the performance, so this is the most appealing theme. Among them, performance improvement is more attractive than performance improvement. Because people value it more. Listed company The future. This kind of theme is particularly active during the performance report, and it is temporarily closed after publication.
2: huge land assets are expected to appreciate. 。
Very imaginative. But ultimately it depends on whether anyone has excavated and publicized this theme.
3: national industrial policy support 。
The key is preferential tax policy and loan policy. Energy, transportation, chemical engineering, communications, high technology.
4: joint venture or equity transfer 。
To analyze the theme of the joint venture, we should give full consideration to the economic strength and market energy of the joint venture partners, distinguish between the beneficial joint venture and the fake joint venture which is only touted for making the theme, and distinguish whether the prospect of the joint venture is good or bad.
5: increase the allotment of shares or dividends. 。
The increase in capital allotment itself is not a dividend. It does not give shareholders any return, but only gives shareholders a power to increase investment. In bull market, the right of priority investment is often very important and has certain value, because people expect the share price to rise in bull market, and preferential investment will bring good income. Dividend payout is a real return to shareholders of listed companies. Before such a real return is materialized, there will often be a phenomenon of gun ownership, because the bull market is expected to be filled. The increase of rights allotment or dividend payment has become a subject matter because of bull market expectations. Once the market is reversed, people expect the bear market to come and deliver shares. Allotment of shares Neither can it arouse people's desire to buy.
6: holding or acquisition 。
This is one of the most attractive themes in foreign developed markets. Because it gives people unlimited imagination. Holding means that a consortium absorbs a large number of shares in the stock market in order to control the company in the end. However, it is unlikely that a real takeover bid will take place in the two tier market of China's stock market. This is related to the equity structure of listed companies. For now, holding or buying is just a hype. Most holding behavior is due to the inaccuracy of the dealer's speculation and the increasing number of shares in the hands, so that they can reach or surpass the boundaries of placards and have to raise their cards.
Two, analysis Hype theme
It is not difficult to analyze whether the subject matter is true or false. It can analyze various announcements and statements of listed companies. But the best way is to compare the theme with the disk to see whether the disk supports the existence of the theme. For real stock speculates, there is no need to ask for news all day. Everything is clearly reflected on the disk.
How much influence can a theme bring to the disk? It does not depend on the subject matter, but depends on the situation at the time. The response of the disk is the change of supply and demand. The state of the disk is the state of supply and demand.
For example, can a match cause a forest fire? Not necessarily, it does not decide the match, but depends on the state of the forest. The same is true of the market. The atmosphere is high and low, and popularity is strong and weak. The same themes are put into the market, and the reactions often vary from time to time. This is the subtlety of the market. Only by understanding the relationship between subject matter and market is to stand on the market and analyze the market reaction.
Conversely, through market reaction to subjects, we can see the current state of the market. A market that has no response to bad news is undoubtedly a strong market, and a market that is not responsive to all good themes advocated by the makers is a weak market. In a bull market, even if the banker does not preach, investors will explore it themselves. So the theme is the excuse, the market state is the key.
The truth and the false of the subject matter are not important. The important thing is the reaction of the market, the appeal of the subject matter, and not many followers.
Three, the strategy of frying.
Round sawing is not only a strategy, but rather a natural phenomenon. The so-called "stir fry" refers to the phenomenon of dividing different sectors of the market into several levels. Frying can be the main market arrangement, or the spontaneous formation of the market. There are too many stocks in the stock market, and all the stocks need too much money to go up together. When the stock goes upside down, the investors' attention is scattered and it is not easy to form a strong offensive. The essence of frying is to divide the market into many parts of the self system, and then concentrate on speculation. In addition, when a group of stocks is weak, another group of stock can replace the former to support the situation, so as to maintain market sentiment.
Frying is often based on first line blue chip stocks and second tier stocks in mid priced shares. This is because, at the beginning of the market, people often have doubts about the future market. Generally, they dare not buy those stocks that are not guaranteed. At this time, the price of blue chip stocks is low, and the value of investment appears, which has become the first choice for the first batch of investors. When the first tier stocks are high, the second line stocks will keep up, because their performance is not bad. Since the first tier stocks are already very high, the latter will only choose these. (comparison) then, the market tends to become more and more active, and the atmosphere of speculation is becoming more and more intense. Therefore, the three line stocks are hyped as the most speculative varieties, and this hype often loses rationality and becomes a pure digital game.
When the 123 line stocks were fired, the general market situation came to an end. This is the general law of frying, and when the stocks on the market are less and less, the market will almost come to an end.
But there is also a situation, that is, when the second tier stocks are fired, the first line stocks have begun to adjust. When the three line stocks are fired, the second and second tier stocks are adjusting again. When the three line stocks are hyped up, maybe the first-line stocks have been adjusted quite thoroughly. If the general trend is good for a long time, it will be possible to reactivate the first tier stocks and drive the market to a new round of circulation. (probably in Daniel.)
Therefore, we should grasp the rhythm of the market. When the three line stocks are hyped up, we should pay close attention to the trend of the first line stocks and see if there is any sign of starting. Once so, the market may be optimistic for a long time and start a new round of speculation.
The frying strategy can save the capital of the main body and the market psychology. Therefore, the development of the market tends to show the characteristics of the round up. Investors should make full use of their own funds to deal with round speculation so as to maximize profits.
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